🧠 Market Context (BTC)
$BTC is printing lower highs → clear bearish structure
Any bounce right now = relief rally, not confirmed reversal
Liquidity likely sits above short-term highs (trap zone)
📉 Scenario You’re Suggesting
Bounce → Rejection → Continuation Down
Bounce Zone: around $68,500 – $69,100
Then → bearish continuation
✔️ This is a classic “sell the bounce” setup
🎯 Refined Trade Plan (Short Bias)
🔴 Short Entry Zone:
$68,800 – $69,200
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $67,500
TP2: $66,800
TP3: $65,500
🛑 Stop Loss:
$70,200 (above liquidity + structure break)
⚠️ Confirmation = Everything
Don’t short blindly at 69K. Wait for:
❌ Rejection wicks (fake breakout above 69K)
❌ Bearish engulfing on lower timeframe
❌ Volume decreasing on the bounce
🚨 Invalidation Scenario
If BTC:
Breaks $70K–$70.5K strongly
Holds above it
👉 Then structure shifts → possible move toward $72K+
🧠 Smart Money Perspective
Retail: chasing the bounce 📈
Smart money: shorting into liquidity above highs
🔥 Final Thought
Your idea is solid—but the edge comes from patience at the rejection, not the bounce itself.
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