HORMUZ SHOCK COULD LIGHT OIL TO $200 $OIL 🔥
Morgan Stanley is flagging a worst-case oil squeeze if the Iran conflict drags into June and the Strait of Hormuz stays shut. With a 40% probability assigned to that scenario, the report says crude and product prices could surge to levels that crush demand, while a 60% base case sees the conflict easing by month-end.
Watch the reopening timeline, infrastructure damage, and any shipping disruption across the Gulf. This is a liquidity shock, not a normal headline trade.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.