Those who understand this pattern have already begun to position themselves.
2026, the U.S. midterm election year.
If you pay attention to the market, you will definitely notice a strange phenomenon:
S&P 500 fell 4%, Bitcoin fell 21%.
This is not a coincidence.
History is repeating itself.
Midterm election year, the curse arrives as expected.
Looking back at history, you will find an almost certain pattern:
2018 (midterm election year):
S&P 500 ↓6%, Bitcoin ↓73%
2022 (midterm election year):
S&P 500 ↓19%, Bitcoin ↓64%
2026 (this year so far):
S&P 500 ↓4%, Bitcoin ↓21%
Every time, political uncertainty is like a knife hanging over your head.
Investors are not afraid of the election itself, but of 'not knowing what the outcome will be.'
But the real winners are all waiting for a moment.
There is another law of history that few know:
As soon as the midterm elections are over, the market will change its face.
After the last two midterm elections:
The U.S. stock market averages a 14% rise within 6 months.
Bitcoin averages a 54% rise within 6 months.
Why?
Because uncertainty has disappeared.
Regardless of who wins or loses, once the result is settled, funds will dare to move.
Will this year be different?
Some say this time is different.
Some say the AI bubble will burst.
Some say the bull market for Bitcoin has ended.
But history tells us:
Every time 'this time is different,' it ends up being the same.
Voting ends on November 3, 2026.
The new Congress will take office on January 3, 2027.
The months in between are the most familiar script for risk assets:
First dig a hole, then fill the hole.
Is the current position an opportunity or a trap?
The S&P 500 fell by 4%, and Bitcoin fell by 21%.
Compared to the declines in the previous two midterm election years, this year's drop is considered 'gentle.'
But if you believe in history:
The current decline may just be the 'ticket to enter' before a big rebound.
Of course, no one can predict the lowest point.
But one thing is certain:
During panic, it's always a minority that positions themselves.