In the morning, I drank lamb soup downstairs and ran into an important client from when I used to do physical business.
She was wearing tight yoga clothes, saying she had just come from the gym.
After chatting for a bit, she said she was going through her third divorce.
I asked, what’s the reason this time for not being able to carry on?
She said, the man is too spineless; when faced with a problem, he gets all flustered, and as soon as divorce is mentioned, he starts crying and begging for mercy, which makes it more and more nauseating to watch.

I knew about this flaw of hers long ago.
All three of her marriages were flash marriages.
Each time, she had just gone through a devastating emotional breakdown, and couldn't stand the loneliness and fear of the empty period, so she would grab a man who was completely obedient to her and marry him.
People have no discernment when they are in extreme panic and extreme emptiness.
As long as it is a living thing, as long as it can provide even the slightest emotional comfort, she will cling to it as if it were a lifesaver.
And the result?
As the passion fades away, and the filter is removed, looking at that man who can't stand up, who can't even come up with a decent idea, her innate 'antipathy towards foolishness' will kick in.
In the end, it must be kicked away, leaving nothing behind.

In fact, the trading market is no different from marriage.
In this world, no matter how beautifully wrapped in emotional attire, the underlying tone is extremely cold.
Human nature is like this; the real money rolling in red and green numbers is even more so.

Take$ETH as an example, it fell from the high of 2185 yesterday, plummeting in panic to 2033.
It's like a brutal divorce that leaves people broke, making everyone dizzy and heartbroken.
After crashing to the bottom, the price began to sluggishly climb up around 2070.
It seems like the bleeding has stopped, and there is a little bit of life as if it's just a show.
If you peel away this layer of red skin, you'll see.
This upward movement is weak to the core; there is no big fund putting real money to support it.
The buying power is soft; it starts gasping for air at the slightest selling pressure.

This is a typical case of 'eating anything when hungry.'
The drop was too severe; the market couldn't bear this sense of weightlessness, casually finding a weak buying power to rely on, resulting in a weak rebound to get by.
Do you expect this pathetic and useless market to lead you back to the peak with a triumphant song?
That's just a dream.
The weakness ingrained in the genes cannot be changed.

Wait for this wave of weak funds to struggle up to the danger zone around 2100—where the last wave of trapped individuals is eager to break free.
The market's 'antipathy towards foolishness' will immediately kick in.
Big funds find this rebound, which is unsupported by real money, increasingly ridiculous; they will respond with a big slap.
At that time, it will directly break through the psychological bottom line of 2020, leading to a new round of being kicked out.

Now this soft rebound is not worth joining in; don’t think that just because it has gone up by two bucks, love has returned.
The hunter sets traps only at the edge of the most deadly cliffs.

[Tactical Board]

  • Tactical Direction: Short Selling

  • Hunter's Ambush Position: Around 2095 - 2105 short

    • Logic: Once it rises to this range, wait for its weakness to be fully exposed, then go in and hit it. If it doesn't reach this high point, absolutely do not enter the market.

  • Lifeline (Defensive Position): 2133

    • Logic: If it really took the wrong medicine, and a big bullish candle breaks through this price, it indicates that this man has suddenly toughened up. Acknowledge the mistake and exit; survival is crucial, absolutely do not hold positions.

  • Profit Taking Range (Take Profit Position):

    • First Tier: 2055 (Reduce Position)

    • Second Tier: 2035 (Reduce Position Again)

    • Third Tier: 1997 (Liquidate)

People are looking for support, and funds are also looking for backing.
But the passion that can't withstand a beating will never land. When the time comes, the true form will be revealed.

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