【Ling Mo 3.26 Evening Analysis】
Many people ask me why Brother Mo's ETH didn't directly rush to 2240 when a BOS signal appeared on the 4H level?
I took a glance at the real-time price of crude oil and the only thought in my mind was to put away your bullish fantasies.
1. Macro-level liquidity #CrudeOil106
Just now, Brent crude oil has dropped to around 106.11. Everyone needs to understand a basic operational logic: as long as oil prices stabilize above 100, inflation expectations will be a deadlock.
The Federal Reserve is not a matter of wanting to lower interest rates; it fundamentally does not dare to ease up. Even the expectation of lowering rates has been pushed back from June to September.
In addition, Trump's attitude towards the three-point agreement is getting tougher. Today, he even publicly warned Iran that it would be too late if they don’t take it seriously.
As long as the geopolitical situation does not ease for a day, risk assets like ETH will always be the first choice for institutions to cash out. $ETH
2. The hunting behind ETH's market
The current market is actually a performance.
1. Inducing action: The price fluctuates around 2067, looking like it's building a bottom and gaining momentum, but in reality, it's tempting retail investors to enter and take over. Such a rise without volume support is called false prosperity in ICT logic. #TrumpConsidersEndingIranConflict
2. Institutional target: The red OB area above 2120-2180 is the pressure point for tonight. Institutions will use the volatility after the U.S. stock market opens to forcibly push the price there, clearing the stop losses of high-position shorts before reversing and crashing down.
3. Hunting area: Keep a close watch on the 2050 position. If it cannot hold for half an hour before the U.S. stock market opens, the next station will directly be 2000 or even lower in the SSL area.
Ling Mo's practical advice: #Write2Earn
Don't try to gamble on that short-term rebound of a few dozen dollars; it's not worth it. In the face of oil prices at 106, any bullish signal from a technical perspective should be discounted.
Tonight, my strategy is very clear: above 2150, just watch and do not act, waiting for institutions to fully inflate bullish sentiment.
Once SMT divergence or obvious signals appear near the pressure point, I will directly lead everyone into the market in the practical group. #DAS2026
