Bitcoin Update – March 26, 2026

The current exchange price of $BTC is around $70,000 (-5.2% from yesterday's peak of $73,850 - sharp drop this morning).

Geopolitical Side: This explains the drop this morning

Trump has continued his posts on Truth Social ("very productive negotiations with Iran" + 48-hour extension of strikes), but the market reacted to two new elements:

> Iran has still not publicly confirmed the progress of discussions (just a very cautious statement from the Iranian Foreign Ministry mentioning "ongoing talks with no guarantees").

> Leaks in the press (Bloomberg / Reuters) indicate that American negotiators are demanding the complete dismantling of Fordow, which Tehran refuses for now.

The "Trump peace trade" is beginning to lose steam. Brent oil has risen above $81 (+1.8% in one hour), risk-off sentiment is returning somewhat, and investors are taking profits after yesterday's strong rebound. In any case, oil above $100 currently would hurt the USA and its allies, and without negotiations or positive headlines, the price of oil will quickly rise again.

By the end of the week, if negotiations remain open (and Trump insists on a quick deal), we can hope for:

> Stabilization around $68-70k

> A possible rebound towards $72-73k if Iran gives a positive signal

> The Fear & Greed index should rise towards 30-40/100 (we are gradually coming out of Extreme Fear).

The long-term bullish cycle remains intact with ETF Spot inflows still > +$56.9 billion, MicroStrategy continuing to buy, and the Clarity Act making progress in the Senate. Bitcoin becomes the digital hedge as soon as geopolitical tensions calm down.

In short, this is a classic retracement after a geopolitical pump, especially a bit contradictory on both sides. The market digests and awaits the next signal from Trump or Tehran.