Last night, the market surged and then fell back, and short positions continued to profit. The major coin fluctuated below 70500, while the second coin fell to around 2140, confirming that Trump's soft talk was just a short-term emotional stimulus.

Reiterating three points:

A pause of 5 days ≠ risk elimination, it merely pushes uncertainty back;

Avoiding trading days is a political consideration, serving the mid-term primaries;

Once the sentiment fades, funds enter the 'blind zone', and chasing high positions is likely to get trapped.

Currently, the second coin is fluctuating in the 2100-2180 range, with volatility narrowing; the major coin is hovering between 70000-71600. The emotional premium brought by Trump is basically digested, and the market has returned to a directionless state, with funds caught in a dilemma, waiting for clearer news over the weekend. The 5-day deadline is approaching, and there is a high probability of new disturbances over the weekend. At this position, bulls need to be cautious; the market fears not bad news, but uncertainty.

Today's strategy: Continue with high shorts, bulls only do short-term pullbacks.

BTC

High shorts: Place shorts in the 71300-71600 area, targeting around 70000, with a stop at 72000;

Short-term longs: Place light longs in the 70000-70200 area, targeting 71000, quick in and out.

ETH

High shorts: Place shorts in the 2170-2180 area, targeting 2120, with a stop at 2210;

Short-term longs: Place longs in the 2100-2080 area, targeting 2150, strictly with stop losses.

Core logic

A 5-day pause is not a complete negative signal; the fundamental contradictions remain unresolved, it merely pushes uncertainty back. This point is about 'technical avoidance', essentially serving mid-term primaries, placing pressure on the market later. Moving forward, being bullish still requires caution; in a news-driven market, the risk of chasing high is greater than missing out.

Weekend news is a key variable, and I will continue to follow up. The market is not short of opportunities; stay steady, and we continue. #特朗普缓和局势