Negotiation is an illusion, the market is betting on a bigger fluctuation
The current situation is a bit "twisted"
On one side, Donald Trump says negotiations are making progress,
even pausing military actions at one point;
On the other side,
Iran directly denies any substantial negotiations,
and the situation is actually escalating repeatedly.
The market's reaction is also quite real:
BTC briefly surged back to around 70,000
but overall it still fluctuates without a trend.
The core contradiction can actually be summed up in one sentence:
"We need a ceasefire," but no one is truly making concessions.
My personal view
The most dangerous aspect of the current market is not the decline,
but rather — uncertainty being repeatedly tugged.
You can understand the current market as:
Good news → emotions immediately surge
Conflict → immediately gets smashed back
It’s neither bullish nor bearish,
It’s a typical:
Event-driven volatile market
A more critical point
As long as the situation in the Middle East remains unresolved:
Oil prices will remain unstable
Interest rate expectations will fluctuate
BTC will only be pulled back and forth
It's not about trading trends now,
it's about trading — a message that could reverse at any time.
To be honest in the comments section
In this kind of market,
Would you choose to trade in waves or just observe directly?#特朗普缓和局势 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #特朗普48小时最后通牒