Newbies playing Polymarket just need to understand these few strategies:
1⃣️ Tail-end betting
Choose markets with a probability greater than 95% that will settle within a few days or hours. This approach is simple and straightforward, suitable for beginners to quickly sense the predicted market. However, be aware of black swans and try to avoid markets like esports and sports that are prone to extreme reversals.
2⃣️ Limit orders
Polymarket has markets specifically for limit order rewards, allowing you to earn USDC through limit orders. These markets usually have larger spreads, so Polymarket encourages users to place limit orders close to the midpoint price to enhance liquidity. The limit order range is generally within ±5 of the midpoint price.
3⃣️ Buy markets with a probability sum of less than 1
Buy markets where yes + no is less than 1, for example, if a market has yes at 70% and no at 28%, then if you buy both yes and no simultaneously, you can achieve a 2% profit upon settlement. However, such opportunities are fleeting and will be quickly taken by bots, making manual operation impractical.
4⃣️ Arbitrage or hedging across multiple platforms
Arbitrage or hedge between other platforms and Polymarket. However, due to previous liquidity issues on Opinion after the token issuance and Polymarket recently starting to charge fees, the difficulty of arbitrage has increased. For hedging, there will be slight slippage.
5⃣️ Information asymmetry
Have deep insights into a certain type of market and profit from information asymmetry. If Trump and his family come to play Polymarket, it's definitely a money printing opportunity.
Welcome to play Polymarket: polymarket.com/?r=macpp
