It is currently a period of easing in the war, so short-term prices will continue to rebound for a while, which is a small benefit. Coincidentally, a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern has emerged in the short term, which will accelerate a rebound. After reaching a high point and then continuing to drop, the idea of going long in the short term and then shorting is not wrong; the probability of this is slightly higher, unless Trump comes out and continues to draw lines, which may invalidate the pattern.