📊 Today's Market Overview (2026-03-23)

- Current Price: Approximately $68,700 (¥474,000)

- 24h: -2.35%, Range $68,108–$70,530

- Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 28 (Extreme Fear)

- Liquidations: 24h total liquidations $555 million, long positions account for over 90%

- Drivers: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East + Regulatory implementation + Institutional rebalancing, short-term bearish dominance

🎯 Key Price Levels (Core Reference for Contracts)

- Strong Support: $68,000–$68,500 (Institutional cost zone)

- Secondary Support: $66,000–$67,000 (Weekly support)

- First Resistance: $70,000–$71,000 (Moving average + trapped positions)

- Strong Resistance: $72,500–$73,000 (Trend line + EMA)

📈 Contract Trading Strategy (Light Position + Strict Stop Loss)

1️⃣ Short Selling Strategy (Main Trend, Priority)

- Aggressive: Rebound to $70,000–$70,500, light position short

- Stop Loss: $71,500

- Target: $69,000 → $68,500 → $68,000

- Conservative: Rebound to $71,500–$72,000, face resistance to short

- Stop Loss: $73,000

- Target: $70,000 → $68,500 → $67,000

2️⃣ Long Buying Strategy (Oversold Rebound, Light Position Quick Exit)

- Aggressive: Stabilize at $68,000–$68,500, light position long

- Stop Loss: $67,800

- Target: $69,500 → $70,000

- Conservative: $66,000–$67,000, build position in batches

- Stop Loss: $65,500

- Target: $68,000 → $70,000

🧾 Risk Control Rules (Must Read)

- Position: Single Direction ≤ 10%, Total Position ≤ 20%

- Leverage: ≤5 times, high leverage prohibited

- Stop Loss: Mandatory for each trade, do not hold losing positions, do not chase trades

❗️❗️❗️Key Event: Tonight's PCE data (21:30), if data exceeds expectations, volatility will increase❗️❗️❗️

✅ Today's Overall Tone

- Short-term bearish dominance, rebounds viewed as opportunities to lure buyers

- Prioritize short selling on rebounds, light position quick exits on oversold rebounds

- Break below $68,000, bearish to $67,000; stabilize above $71,000 to switch to bullish