🎯 The market is not just going down: it is trembling under the weight of expensive oil, gold in safe-haven mode, and cryptos in red. Investors are rushing towards safety while uncertainty dominates. The recovery will depend on whether inflation eases and geopolitics calms; until then, volatility will be the name of the game.
The market is going down because key assets are showing pressure: oil remains volatile around 91.8 USD, gold reflects nervousness with a volatility index of 35.2 USD (+13%), and leading cryptocurrencies are retreating: Bitcoin -2.2% at 1,231,999 MXN, Ethereum -3.1% at 37,274 MXN, Solana -2.5% at 1,565 MXN and BNB -1.7% at 11,283 MXN.
📉 Current outlook
- Oil (OVX): 91.85 USD, with high volatility and risk of exceeding 100 USD if geopolitical tensions escalate.
- Gold (GVZ): 35.25 USD, rising strongly, reflecting a search for safety.
- Bitcoin (BTC): 1,231,999 MXN (-2.2%), with a negative year of -20%.
- Ethereum (ETH): 37,274 MXN (-3.1%), slight annual gain (+3.8%).
- Solana (SOL): 1,565 MXN (-2.5%), with a very tough year (-34%).
- BNB: 11,283 MXN (-1.7%), stable in the long term (+1.1% annually).
🔮 Recovery scenarios
- Short term (April–May 2026): If oil stabilizes below 100 USD and the Fed gives clear signals of rate cuts, markets could rebound.
- Medium term (second half of 2026): Stronger recovery if global inflation shows a downward trend and geopolitical tensions moderate.
- Cryptocurrencies: BTC and ETH could lead a rebound if risk appetite returns, but volatility will remain high.
