Projected price range for next week between $72,651 (low) and $79,707 (high)

🔹 Fear and Greed Index at 23 — Extreme Fear

🔹 200-day MA falling since February 19 — confirmed long-term weakness

⚠️ The Bearish Case (and it’s STRONG):

The current price action of BTC is reflecting the November–January pattern that preceded a brutal collapse from $90K to nearly $60K. The recovery against the trend looks weak and turbulent — the buying crowd on the dip lacks strength.

Markets are pricing in a RATE INCREASE in the U.S. — a complete 180-degree turn from weeks ago when we discussed rate cuts. Oil has risen 50% since the conflict in Iran began, crushing inflation and growth expectations.

If $75K is touched next week — this is what I expect:

🐻 BEARISH SCENARIO (my base case — 60%):

BTC briefly touched $75,912 last Tuesday and was immediately rejected — analysts confirmed it was driven by derivatives, not by real buying. A new test of $75K next week that fails = bullish trap. Next stop: $65K–$62K.

🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (40%):

A clean daily close ABOVE $75K with volume → opens the way to $79K–$80K. ETF entries need to be confirmed. Watch for weekly entries of $767M+ as a signal.$BTC