(This is my personal opinion, not advice, just for reference, timing discrepancies can also be a serious issue, so read for fun)

"The bear market is over."

I don't think so. The real bottom has not appeared yet. But it is getting closer than most people think.

The issue is:

People are looking at the wrong thing. It's not Bitcoin. It's USDT Dominance (USDT.D).

When USDT.D rises, it means:

👉 Money is leaving the market

👉 Players are switching to stablecoins

👉 And waiting on the sidelines

In the past, the market bottom has always appeared when: USDT.D spikes strongly → a huge amount of liquidity is sitting on the sidelines.

Currently:

USDT.D has broken the support area for many years and is continuing to rise. The most important thing is that we haven't seen a peak yet.

👉 That means:

The bear market is not over.

So what about Bitcoin?

In the short term, I still lean towards a rebound.

BTC could return to the area:

👉 ~80-83k!

This is the old supply zone (previously a support).

And usually:

👉 support breaks → comes back to test → gets pushed down again

My scenario is very simple:

- Light rebound to ~80k

- Rejected at supply

Then comes the final dump.

Target: ~45,000$

But this is the interesting part. When BTC reaches this area, go long strongly; there might be a wick sweeping down to the 30-35k area. Burned out, so prioritize Spot!

(and this entry aligns with the peak/bottom ratio of previous cycles)

And that… is usually when the bottom forms when all the news is negative, like it’s all gone, it’s wrecked, it’s burned, it’s all trash, there’s nothing trashier... USDT.D could reach the peak of the cycle. Liquidity is all in stablecoins and smart money starts to return.