📊 The market is "on fire", only oil goes against the trend
While U.S. stocks, gold, and even Bitcoin all decline, oil prices remain high around ~100 USD — becoming the variable that dominates the entire market.
🛢️ Energy pressure returns
⛽ Diesel in the U.S. exceeds 5 USD/gallon (highest since 2022)
🚗 Gasoline approaches 4 USD/gallon, with many areas even higher
👉 Inflation is at risk of being "re-triggered" from the energy side
🏛️ The U.S. government begins to intervene
JD Vance works with major oil corporations
Donald Trump:
Releasing 172 million barrels from the reserve
Easing domestic transportation for 60 days
International Energy Agency along with 32 countries:
Releasing an additional 400 million barrels from emergency reserves
⚠️ But the problem: oil prices still do not decrease
Despite strong supply boosts, the market maintains high prices → indicating that concerns are not about short-term supply, but rather long-term disruption risks.
📍 The biggest bottleneck: Strait of Hormuz
→ The most important oil transportation route in the world
📊 Market implications
High oil → rising inflation
Rising inflation → Federal Reserve cannot cut rates
No easing → risk assets continue to be under pressure
📈 Quick conclusion
🔴 The red market is not coincidental
🛢️ Oil is the "key driver"
⚠️ If tensions do not cool down → pressure will continue
👉 For the market to recover sustainably, the issue is no longer monetary — but geopolitical.