Big V calls for 40,000, while I chose to go long.

In the past few days, there have been bearish voices everywhere—

Drop by 40%, targeting 45,000, the last dance of the bear market……

The comments are also asking: Can this wave of long positions reach the other side?

I understand this panic.

When the big V's bring out historical patterns, halving cycles, and institutional data, accurately pinpointing the bear market bottom to "October this year", it is indeed very persuasive.

But I want to ask in return:

If everyone knows it will drop to 40,000, why would the market give you this opportunity to board?

The most intense fear often isn’t at the bottom, but rather during the last shakeout before the bottom.

Looking back at these data:

Fear and Greed Index: 29, in the fear zone

Whale data on-chain: 100+ whales are buying in small amounts

Contract long-short ratio: Longs 59% Shorts 41%, longs have not surrendered

ETH 2128 at this position is already oversold on the technical side.

BTC around 69000 has three layers of support (70,000, 68,388, 66,388).

I’m not afraid of a drop.

I believe that when everyone is no longer afraid, that is the true peak.

Now everyone is afraid, which indicates the bottom may be closer than most people think.

Hold your positions well, patience is the most expensive chip. #美联储3月议息会议 $ETH $BTC