After so many years of analysis, I increasingly feel that what is most abundant in this circle are "myths" and "secrets", while what is most lacking are a few honest words.
I have seen too many people, with screens filled with dozens of indicator lines, rushing through various communities chasing the so-called "wealth codes". And the result? The numbers in the account shrink the more busy they are. To be honest, the reason I have come this far is not because I understand more complex models than others. On the contrary, it was after the market slapped me countless times that I was forced to recognize — those simplest rules are often the most useful and the most counterintuitive.
First, the trend is your old friend, but don't be a “scumbag.” When the market just shows a hint of movement, what is the reaction of most people? Doubt, mockery, thinking it's a scam. When the trend is loud and clear, and everyone sees it, then they all rush in, and the result is often that they become the “one paying the bill at the feast.” What we need to do is not to be a prophet guessing the starting point, but to learn from scouts, confirm that it has “already set off,” and then gracefully follow along; that’s not embarrassing.
Second, once it starts to run, it has its own momentum. It's somewhat like pushing a box; it's most strenuous at the start, but once it starts moving, if you want it to turn around immediately, it can't stop. When the market's emotions and money intertwine, it will push prices up for a while. Why do many people never get to eat the meat? They rush to run away after just earning a bit for lunch, not realizing that the truly juicy part is learning to “sit in the car and let it drive for a while.”
Third, there are no flowers that bloom without wilting; the more frenzied the rise, the more silent the repayment will be. The price of anything, in the long run, oscillates around an axis. The more fiercely it surges, the higher it floats, the farther it is from that axis, and when the time comes, the pull of gravity will be stronger. The biggest difference between old hands and tender shoots may be that old hands are willing to turn around and leave when they hear the footsteps of regression; while tender shoots always mutter in their hearts, “this time is different,” and end up left on the mountaintop.
Fourth, make the above three steps your breathing. The first three points, when looked at alone, are as plain as boiled water. What’s the hardest part? It's after experiencing a round of soaring and plummeting, and another round of dropping and rising, that you can still calmly repeat, like a pre-programmed machine: the trend has come, enter; holding steady with that momentum; the signal of regression lights up, withdraw. The secret to making money is not some earth-shattering unique skill, but to repeat a simple and effective action a thousand times, ten thousand times, until it becomes part of you.
Now there are always people who believe that more advanced algorithms or smarter AI can crack the market. I've tested and seen quite a bit, and to tell you the truth: machines can accurately calculate fluctuations, but they can't figure out the FOMO (fear of missing out) emotions that suddenly explode in a group late at night; they can coldly execute stop-losses, but they can't understand the blind buying impulse brought by a KOL's call. The foundation of this market does not run on code, but on human nature. Greed, fear, herd mentality, luck... the technical shell is changing rapidly, but the human heart inside has not changed for thousands of years.
Why do most people struggle for a long time and still lose money? It’s because they focus on chasing those dazzling high-level methods, forgetting to look down and see that they are repeatedly enacting the oldest human script. Wealth is not obtained by “defeating” the market, but by “understanding” these scripts and finding a comfortable position to coexist with them.
If you are also tired of being led by the nose by news, constantly chasing rises and falls, and want to slowly build your own system to cope with the market, rather than just being a mover of information, you might want to take a look at my sharing. I will try to help you dismantle the temperature of market emotions and share some more down-to-earth thinking frameworks. In this place, what ultimately protects you is not some code, but the cognitive system in your brain that no one can take away.
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