• Traders flock to prediction markets as US-Iran tensions drive record activity with billions in volume.

  • Wall Street firms and institutional investors are increasingly using these platforms for serious forecasting.

  • Regulatory uncertainty and lack of margin trading remain key hurdles for large-scale adoption.

Prediction markets are booming as traders rush to bet on outcomes tied to the escalating US-Iran conflict. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi saw record activity last week, with trading volumes hitting $2.49 billion and $2.85 billion, respectively, according to Token Terminal.

Moreover, data from Dune shows that total volume across all prediction markets has climbed to over $145 billion with 2.8 million unique users. The growing attention comes as Washington evaluates clearer federal rules for event contracts and debates banning markets tied to war, terrorism, …

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