It is now 2026.03.12 at 11:36 AM. I haven't updated the market analysis for three to four days. I'm not secretly making money; the overall result of this week's strategy channel orders is a loss. This week, two contract orders resulted in one loss and one profit of 1000 points that hit the breakeven stop after not taking profit (this complies with my trading system). Yesterday, the hedge options for the significant one-sided market after the CPI announcement also lost the principal. Currently, the overall loss is between 5-10%. Recently, my short-term strategy has had issues, and on top of being busy with personal matters, I've paused public sharing for now. Fortunately, I didn't publicly share the strategy; otherwise, I would have been criticized.
In terms of the market, this week started from the resistance level of 71888 after rising from 65588 on Monday morning and began to pull back. Yesterday, there was an effective rebound above the support level of 68588, with a second rebound peak at 71300, temporarily lower than the previous high. The current price is 69300, and the support at 68588 remains valid. Besides the high position from a few days ago, the opening strategy has been paused in recent days, waiting to share again after the market heats up, as frequently opening positions is not my habit.
The recent international situation still focuses on the Middle East region. Iran and the US are still arguing from across the door. Iran has unilaterally blocked the Strait of Hormuz with conditions for exemption (removing US and Israeli diplomats), cutting off a significant portion of Middle Eastern oil exports, causing oil and related products to rise in price. Although most countries announced the activation of oil reserves, leading to a temporary price pullback, prices remain high with a trend of continued increases. In recent days, Iran has started randomly attacking oil transport ships other than those transporting its own oil tankers, further driving up oil prices. Just now, I saw data indicating that most domestic oil and related product prices have again hit the limit or are close to it, indicating that most people still recognize that the announced activation of oil reserves is just a drop in the bucket for the market. One of the parties involved, Huang Mao, has repeatedly warned Israel not to attack Iranian oil facilities, but Huang Mao does not plan to intervene on the ground to seize Iranian oil resources. Currently, Iran's oil exports have not been completely cut off, allowing Iran to profit significantly from the rise in oil prices and the prevention of neighboring countries' oil exports, resulting in more orders. It seems this time the conflict instigated by Huang Mao is aimed at driving up oil prices to pull US high-cost shale oil companies out of the loss line. For the Khamenei family, the second son Mujtaba and former political ally Ahmadinejad have gained domestic power after most Iranian high-ranking officials were cleared by the US and Israel, achieving a temporary consensus to unite against strong enemies and controlling an Iran with a printing press. At present, it seems that aside from the Americans being forced to redeploy a batch of military equipment and the new Iranian leaders losing their fathers and a group of powerful uncles, it appears that both sides are winning. What a fascinating world.
In a volatile market, continue to wait for the high position strategy from a few days ago.
