For next week (from March 5 to March 12, 2026), Ethereum (ETH) is at a critical turning point due to a mix of negative institutional pressure and inflows into ETFs that are colliding.
Here is the projection based on the current market data:
📉 The Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
The news that Culper Research has taken short positions alleging a "death spiral" in staking rewards following the Fusaka upgrade has generated an "extreme fear" sentiment in the retail sector.
• Target Zone: If ETH fails to hold above $2,000, it is very likely to visit the psychological support of $1,900 - $1,880.
• Key Factor: The activation of old whales (such as the genesis era address that moved 401 ETH today after 10 years) often precedes greater selling pressure.
🚀 The Bullish Scenario (Technical Rebound)
Despite the FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $169 million yesterday (March 4), indicating that institutions are buying the dip.
• Target Zone: If the bulls manage to close a daily candle above $2,110 - $2,150, the price could quickly rise towards $2,280 to liquidate the impatient "shorters."
• Major Resistance: The $2,400 level acts as the medium-term ceiling that ETH has failed to break during February.$ETH #trading #crypto #Binance