Invalidation Points
To validate or invalidate these cycle comparisons (as of March 4, 2026):

• Bullish Invalidation: A clean break below $60,000 support could signal deeper bear territory, breaking the post-halving cycle pattern and echoing 2022's capitulation—watch for increased miner sales or ETF outflows.

• Bearish Invalidation: Sustained close above $80,000 resistance might confirm a breakout, diverging from 2022's weakness and reigniting bull momentum amid improving macro. Key levels to monitor!

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