👋Hello everyone, I am Sister Bai, who has been struggling in the crypto world for 13 years and professionally analyzing for 6 years. Recently, many friends have been discussing the altcoin season index, and today Sister Bai will give you a thorough analysis. Behind this index, there may be secrets you don't know about!😉.
1. The seemingly prosperous 'altcoin season' actually hides secrets
The altcoin season index that everyone is looking at has actually been distorted for a long time! It only represents a very small number of altcoins with high market capitalization, which is quite different from the ones we hold. It's like you think you've caught the tail end of the altcoin season, only to find that the altcoins in your hands haven't kept up with this wave of 'heat'. Isn't that heartbreaking?💔
Currently, the altcoin season index is 84, which has already entered the blue-purple oversold zone. If it rises a bit more, it will plummet again, which is similar to what happened in January 2025. But think back to January 2025; after experiencing the significant drop in December 2024, did the altcoins in everyone's hands show any signs of improvement? Many people are still standing guard at the peak; doesn't this index seem a bit ironic🤷♀️?
Two, what is the true altcoin season index?
Sister Bai believes that the true altcoin season index should exclude Bitcoin, the top fifteen altcoins by market value, and all stablecoins. Only the remaining altcoins can represent the 'altcoin season' for us ordinary players. What do you think🧐?
So the question arises: the current altcoin season index is 84; what is the true altcoin season index? How is it calculated? Don't worry, Sister Bai will calculate it for everyone right away👇.
The total market value of the cryptocurrency circle is 30.43 trillion yuan. After removing Bitcoin, the top fifteen altcoins by market value, and the market value of all stablecoins, the remaining true market value of altcoins in the cryptocurrency circle is 3.0947 trillion yuan. The total market value of altcoins, excluding Bitcoin, is 30.43 - 16.42 = 14.01
Then we derive the true altcoin quarterly index as 84 × 3.0947 ÷ 14.01 = 18.55. Seeing this number, doesn't it feel even more heart-wrenching😱? The true altcoin quarterly index is only 18.55 and still in the orange oversold zone!
Three, when can we welcome the real altcoin season?
From the current data, the altcoin market seems bustling, but in reality, there are undercurrents. We ordinary investors must keep our eyes open and not be misled by superficial indices. Sister Bai suggests that everyone should pay more attention to the fundamentals of projects when investing in altcoins and not follow the crowd blindly. At the same time, reasonably allocate assets and do not put all your eggs in one basket🥚.
When will the real altcoin season actually come? No one can say for sure. But as long as we stay rational and keep learning, we will definitely find our own opportunities in the cryptocurrency circle💪. Let's work hard together, everyone!
After reading Sister Bai's 13 years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, do you suddenly feel enlightened? Don't keep it to yourself; make sure to share this valuable article with friends around you who are still confused by the 'fake altcoin season'—after all, in the cryptocurrency circle, the more clear-minded people there are, the fewer people will fall into pitfalls! Just hit the share button, and let's help more people avoid traps together❤️～
If you think that Sister Bai's calculated true index is both heart-wrenching and useful, don't forget to give a like! Every like you give is the motivation for Sister Bai to continue breaking down the truths of the cryptocurrency circle～ More 'anti-routine' investment tips will be shared later, such as how to judge the true signals of altcoin launches and the selection techniques for small-cap cryptocurrencies. If you don't want to miss out, hurry up and follow me. Sister Bai from 2013 will help you walk steadily in the cryptocurrency circle!
Finally, I would like to hear everyone's voice: what is the situation of the altcoins in your hands now? How long do you think we have to wait for the real altcoin season? Come to the comments section to chat, let's exchange experiences and support each other～