The XRP market has shown significant signs of vitality in the recent days of February 2026. With an increase ranging between 7% and 9%, the XRP/USDT pair has consolidated in the 1.46 - 1.47 USDT zone, awakening the interest of technical analysts who seek to decipher whether this movement is the beginning of a larger trend or a corrective bounce.
Current Market Situation
As of February 25, 2026, the main data aggregators confirm an optimistic sentiment:
👁️ Closing Price: Around 1.4672 USDT.
👁️24-hour Range: A minimum of 1.3436 and a maximum that reached 1.4707 USDT.
💰 Volume: Remains robust at approximately 3.49B USDT, validating the current movement without yet showing signs of extreme exhaustion or buying "climax."
1. Technical Projections with Fibonacci
The use of Fibonacci retracements and extensions allows us to identify the mathematical "walls" and "floors" that XRP will face in the short and medium term.
Analysis of the Retracement (Major Drop: 2.19 to 1.11 USDT)
After the correction from the high of 2.19 USDT, XRP has begun to regain ground. The key levels to watch are:
🔗 1.3709 USDT (23.6%): Level already surpassed that now acts as the main support.
🔗1.5279 USDT (38.2%): Immediate resistance. Breaking this level would confirm real bullish strength.
🔗1.6548 USDT (50%): Medium-term target and crucial psychological level.
🔗 1.7817 USDT (61.8%): Known as the "golden zone," this level represents a major resistance where historically the price tends to react strongly.
Impulse Extensions (Recent Bounce)
If we take the momentum from the low of 1.34 USDT to the current price, continuation projections point to targets at 1.63 USDT and 1.67 USDT.
2. Elliott Wave Reading: Where are we?
The wave theory suggests that XRP is exiting a complex corrective phase to enter an impulsive phase.
⚙️Medium-Term Cycle: The completion of a corrective ABC structure that culminated in the minimum of 1.1172 USDT is observed. Currently, we might be at the birth of Wave 1 of a new bullish cycle.
⚙️Short-Term Cycle (Intraday): The current movement appears to be a Sub-wave 3 (the strongest). However, with an RSI close to 89 (overbought), it is highly likely that we will see a Sub-wave 4 (a small pullback) towards 1.42 - 1.40 USDT before attempting to seek the 1.52 USDT zone.
3. Likely Scenarios and Recommendations
| Scenario | Key Condition | Targets / Supports |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish | Daily close above 1.51 USDT | 1.63, 1.78, and 1.96 USDT |
| Neutral/Lateral | Consolidation between 1.40 and 1.47 | Reaccumulation for next impulse |
| Bearish | Loss of support at 1.34 USDT | Re-testing of 1.11 USDT |
Factors to consider:
📚Correlation: XRP is moving in sync with a generally bullish market (BTC and ETH with double-digit gains).
📚 Fundamentals: Any news regarding the SEC or Ripple's adoption in international payment systems could accelerate these projections.
📚Risk Management: Given the volatility and overbought levels in low timeframes, the use of stop-loss is imperative.
🧨 This analysis is informative and based on technical patterns. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile.🚨
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