Bitcoin’s bear market pattern appears to be repeating, similar to previous cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022. The current drop of around 48% suggests that the market may still be in the middle phase of the cycle, not at a confirmed long-term bottom yet.
In past bear markets, Bitcoin didn’t stop at smaller declines. Instead, prices often fell deeper—around 77% to 86%—before reaching a true bottom. These final drops usually happened when liquidity dried up, miners faced pressure, and leveraged positions were forced to close, causing high volatility.
Right now, the area around $35,000 is acting as a temporary balance zone. However, historically, when price consolidates below key support levels, it tends to move strongly in one direction before a real recovery begins—especially when volatility becomes very low.
Liquidity in the market is decreasing, derivatives positions are crowded, and low volatility suggests pressure is building. In previous cycles, this kind of setup led to a final sharp move that caught late buyers off guard before the market eventually reversed upward.
If this pattern continues, the current phase may be a pre-capitulation stage rather than the final bottom. The best opportunities usually appear when fear is at its highest, not when market sentiment is still hopeful.$BTC
