š¤Good evening, friends! The day is coming to an end, and it has been, to put it mildly, tense. Another long read for those considering fundamentals in conjunction with charts. It's time to exhale, look at the evening charts, and figure out what moved the markets today and what to prepare for tomorrow.
š Fundamentals. Balancing between economics and geopolitics.
Today brought a volatile mix of news. On one hand - positive for risk assets: Trump's tariff cancellation. Honestly, I was really waiting for this, as it was, to put it mildly, madness of permissiveness. This decision lowers inflation expectations and allows markets to "breathe" easier regarding interest rates. On the other hand - geopolitical tension is rising exponentially. Although Iran was formally given a window of 10-15 days, the market does not really believe this. Why?
Against the backdrop of tariff cancellations (which is an internal defeat for Trump), he needs a quick external victory to maintain authority.
Everyone is waiting for the IAEA conclusion. If the report is negative, no one will wait two weeks - this will become an immediate trigger for action.
The main market indicators already point to danger: stocks of defense companies and oil prices are rising sharply. Large capital is hedging against war.
š The cryptocurrency market shows confident growth
Crypto is benefiting today from both factors: the cancellation of tariffs increases risk appetite, while the threat of conflict drives the search for alternative assets.
The main coins show strength: $BTC is trading at $67,548 (+1.13%), while $ETH is approaching $2000.
$BNB (+3.31%) and $SOL, which almost reached +4% growth over the day, are feeling great.
Meme coins are not lagging behind: $DOGE added +3.22%.
Todayās real rockets at the top of growth: $ALLO (+46.95%) and $BIO (+45.29%).
Amid the overall growth, $ESP (-7.13%) and $OP (-6.32%) are showing corrections.
š„ Metals are a classic Safe Haven
The reaction of precious metals to military rhetoric and rising oil prices was instantaneous and powerful. Investors are massing into the "safe haven"... For now, because we have already seen how later everyone also leaves the "safe haven". But for now, that's how it is:
$XAU (Gold) confidently holds above $5,070, adding +1.73%.
The real star of the evening was $XAG (Silver), which soared to an incredible +6.01%, reaching a price of $82.41.
The platinum group is also showing significant growth: $XPD (Palladium) and $XPT (Platinum) each added over 4.5%.
š§ Summary and questions for the night
We are ending the day in a state of maximum uncertainty. Markets are rising on the cancellation of tariffs, while metals and oil are preparing for the approaching storm. Will the IAEA report be a "black swan" tonight, overturning the promised 15 days of silence?
What are your bets for tomorrow morning? ! š
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