Wall Street and the crypto community hold their breath as U.S. inflation data (CPI) is released. This number will chart our course for the end of the first quarter of the year.
📍 What are we watching today? (CPI Watch)
• Expectations: Analysts expect a slight decline, but any "upside surprise" (inflation higher than expected) could mean a postponement of the promised interest rate cut.
• Bitcoin's reaction: Historically, BTC experiences violent volatility in the first ten minutes after the news is released.
💡 Expected scenarios for your portfolios:
1 Low inflation scenario (Bullish): If the numbers come in lower than expected, we might see a massive "green candle" breaking through current resistance levels, with liquidity flowing towards risk assets.
2 High inflation scenario (Bearish): If inflation is "stubborn", the dollar (DXY) will soar, which may pressure Bitcoin to return and test lower support areas.
🎯 Trading tip of the day:
• Avoid high leverage: Today's volatility may hit both parties' "stop-loss" in seconds.
• Watch the USDT Dominance: If it starts to decline right after the news is released, this is a strong signal to enter altcoins.
🏛️ The impact of "Powell" and "Trump":
Markets are also watching the White House's reaction; any high inflation will put enormous political pressure on the Fed to change its strategy before the upcoming March 20 deadline.
The million-dollar question: Do you think inflation has actually ended, or are we on the verge of a new rising wave? Share your predictions for the numbers before they come out! 👇