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IMPORTANT ECONOMIC EVENTS OF THE WEEK

🗓️ MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3
— The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announces interest rate decision (expected to remain at 3.6%)

🗓️ TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4
— Report on new job openings in the U.S. (JOLTS) (may be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown)

🗓️ WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 5
— U.S. private sector employment report (ADP Employment Data)

🗓️ THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6
— Weekly initial jobless claims in the U.S. (may be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown)
— The Bank of England (BoE) announces interest rate decision (expected to remain at 4%)

🗓️ FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 7
— U.S. employment report and unemployment rate (may be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown)
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📉M2 Money Supply Increases Sharply – Signs of Year-End Recession?

🙏The image shows that the M2 money supply in the US and China is approaching all-time high (ATH) levels. Massive money pumping can lead to inflation, reduce purchasing power, and push the economy into recession, especially by the end of 2025. Japan and the Eurozone also show similar trends, but the US and China are more concerning due to their economic scale. Investors need to be cautious!

🙏🙏🙏In my opinion, soon, by the end of this year, you will see the economy entering a recession phase and it will be very exhausting if you do not prepare in advance from now

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The Bank of England (BoE) is preparing for the November meeting amid a divided market over the possibility of keeping the interest rate at 4% or cutting it further. New data shows inflation has decreased to 3.8%, lower than expected, while wage growth is slowing, making the upcoming decision hard to predict.
• Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, and Macquarie are leaning towards the scenario of maintaining the interest rate, waiting for clearer signals regarding the Autumn Budget (26/11).
• Analysts believe that BoE will be cautious, waiting for further signals from inflation and fiscal policy before making cuts in December.
• The market currently prices in a 30% chance that BoE will cut in November, reflecting a high level of uncertainty.

👉 The current focus is on the Autumn Budget – a factor that could shape the direction of UK interest rates in the near future.

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