traidingplan

ARB: Accumulation before a breakout or a prolonged decline?
Arbitrum (ARB) continues to test the patience of holders, trading near the critical zone of 0.90-0.10. Despite strong ecosystem metrics and growth in the RWA sector, the chart looks heavy due to ongoing disputes.
Key figures for today:
* Support: 0.090 - the main bastion. As long as we hold, the chances for a long position remain.
* Resistance: 0.100 - psychological barrier. A consolidation above opens the way to 0.12+.
* RSI: Indicates local oversold conditions.
My conclusion: ARB right now is a classic asset with a high beta coefficient (heavily dependent on BTC movement). I consider a long position only if it holds at 0.095 or on a breakout at 0.101 with a tight stop.
#ARB #Arbitrum #Layer2 #TraidingPlan

𝐒𝐞𝐥𝐥 𝐢𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐲?

Historically, the SPX500 has underperformed between May-October, averaging around 𝟏.𝟐% compared to 𝟒.𝟖%from November-April. That’s where the old saying “Sell in May and go away” comes from.

But this trend has become less reliable over time. Today, markets are influenced more by macro policy, earnings and liquidity than by seasonality. Plus, moving in and out of the market can lead to extra taxes and missed opportunities.

What about Crypto?

$BTC performance May-Oct over recent years (approximate):

2017: +𝟑𝟖𝟕%
2018 (bear): –𝟑𝟏%
2019: +𝟕𝟎%
2020: +𝟔𝟎%
2021: +𝟔%
2022 (bear): –𝟒𝟕%
2023: +𝟐𝟕%
2024: +𝟏𝟗%

Crypto market cap during the same periods (approximate):

2017: +𝟒𝟑𝟑%
2018 (bear): –𝟒𝟗%
2019: +𝟑𝟗%
2020: +𝟔𝟎%
2021: +𝟏𝟑%
2022 (bear): –𝟒𝟒%
2023: +𝟏𝟕%
2024: +𝟖%

There’s no consistent seasonal weakness here and in fact some of crypto’s biggest gains have happened mid year.
This space tends to move on liquidity, sentiment, narratives and adoption. It’s important to always have a holistic view.

Feel free to drop your thoughts below 👇🏼 What 's your game plan these coming months?

#TraidingPlan #Crypto #SPX500 #Cryptolinhio