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Bitcoin [BTC] trades like fear stays heavy, but bigger money refuses to back off.
On the 15th of March, the market looked tense and exhausted. Sentiment and interest in crypto remained near zero, while Bitcoin held above $70K and reclaimed $71K.
Meanwhile, the CLARITY Act uncertainty and war fears kept adding pressure. So, what does this fear actually reveal?
Extreme fear hits Bitcoin
Bitcoin has remained stuck in its longest stretch of Extreme Fear since the 2023 bear market lows.
Source: X
The Fear and Greed Index sat at 15 at press time, which already reflected severe caution. More importantly, the 2026 crash comparison showed fear tapping 5, the lowest reading in the set.
Source: X
That matters because the 2026 reading looks worse than the 2012 crash at 10, Mt. Gox at 9, the 2017–18 crash at 11, COVID-19 at 9, and FTX at 12.
In simple terms, sentiment looks more broken now than during some of Bitcoin’s ugliest collapses. However, price does not fully reflect panic, and that is where the story gets sharper.
CLARITY odds fall to 56%
Meanwhile, confidence in the CLARITY Act keeps fading, and the market clearly notices. Polymarket odds of passage fall from 82% in February to 56%. This drop adds another layer of pressure to an already exhausted crypto market.
Source: Polymarket
Alex Thorn, Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital, delivered the warning bluntly. He wrote:
If CLARITY doesn’t pass committee by the end of April, odds of passage in 2026 become extremely low. This needs to hit the senate floor by early may… floor time is running out and odds diminish every day that passes.
Therefore, regulatory uncertainty will stop being background noise and become a direct sentiment hit.
BTC holds $70K, reclaims $71K
At press time, Bitcoin held above $70K and reclaimed $71K, and that is not weak-market behavior. As of now, the price keeps spending time near the highs instead of collapsing under pressure. Moreover, that strength comes while fear headlines keep stacking.
Source: TradingView
That resilience matters because weak markets usually crack fast. Bitcoin does not. As a result, bulls keep gaining evidence that buyers are absorbing fear-driven selling. Bears may own the mood, but they still do not control the tape.
Are institutions buying the fear?
Institutional money keeps stepping in, and the flow of data makes that challenging to dismiss. U.S. spot BTC ETFs bought $2.12 billion worth of Bitcoin over the last three weeks. That marked three consecutive weeks of inflows for the first time since September 2025.
Source: SosoValue
The latest weekly total reached $767 million, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with more than $260 million. Even with war ongoing, money kept flowing into Bitcoin. Therefore, while retail interest looked dead, institutions still treated BTC like something worth accumulating.
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