readiness

According to Professor Jiang Xueqin, Iran has been preparing for this conflict for 20 years, using both strategic planning and ideological motivation. In his analysis, Iran currently holds several strategic advantages over the US, and the conflict is shaping into a war of attrition.
Iran has conducted prior exercises, including a 12-day war last June to test US and Israeli capabilities, followed by eight months of full preparation. They have also leveraged allied groups like Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas, and other Shiite militias to understand US strategies and weaken American influence in the region.
The conflict is not just with the US — Iran is also targeting global economic interests, including Gulf countries’ critical infrastructure. Water desalination plants are particularly vulnerable, as Gulf countries rely on them for up to 60% of their fresh water. A single drone strike could disrupt a major city’s water supply within weeks.
Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, threatening Gulf food and energy supply chains. This poses serious risks to countries like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar, which are central to the US economic system via petrodollars and investments in AI and technology. Disruption could impact the US economy itself.
Professor Jiang also notes:
The US military is not optimized for modern 21st-century warfare. Its forces are designed for Cold War-style conflicts with heavy technology, not prolonged, low-cost asymmetric engagements.
Drone strikes by Iran demonstrate a cost-effective strategy, where low-cost attacks challenge expensive US systems.
Sending ground troops would be extremely costly for the US and could escalate the conflict further, especially under domestic opposition.
He argues that Saudi Arabia and Israel are pushing for regime change in Iran due to security and economic concerns. Iran’s influence through allied groups like the Houthis adds pressure on the Gulf states, whose economies are heavily reliant on oil and foreign investments.
Professor Jiang also highlights political and ideological factors, including internal US and Israeli interests, as well as secret global powers influencing the timing and scale of the conflict.
“Iran sees this as a war against the ‘Great Satan,’ prepared over decades, while the US faces a strategic and ideological challenge it is not fully equipped to handle.”
— Professor Jiang Xueqin (Chinese-Canadian educator, author, and geopolitical analyst; founder of Predictive History on YouTube)
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