March 2026 in numbers:
Oil (USO): +61.5%
Commodities (DBC): +18.1%
Dollar (UUP): +3.2%
BTC: -1.1%
Bonds (TLT): -3.6%
S&P (SPY): -7.9%
Gold (GLD): -13.2%
Oil dominates. Commodities ripping from oil while dollar strengthening. Everything else red.
$BTC lost 1.1% while SPY lost 7.9%, entering well into second bear market phase. That said, bitcoin held 7x better than equities in the same macro environment.
Gold down 13% is the surprise nobody expected. The traditional safe haven is underperforming the asset everyone calls "risky."
Q1 ends tomorrow. What are you watching going into Q2?