🥇 GOLD vs BITCOIN: WHY I'M WATCHING THE 16 OZ MOMENT 👀
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Hello friends, just checked both charts. Gold is down. Bitcoin is holding. And one ratio caught my eye.
The BTC to gold ratio just hit 16 ounces — meaning one Bitcoin now buys 16 ounces of gold . Just before the Middle East conflict, it was 12 ounces. That's a 30% jump in Bitcoin's relative strength .
What actually matters to me is what this tells us about market cycles.
Gold is on its longest losing streak in over 100 years — 10 consecutive days down, falling 27% from its January peak . Meanwhile, Bitcoin is holding above $68,000 . The yellow metal is down around 12% since the war started in late February .
But here's what I find fascinating:
Gold ETFs saw BILLIONS in outflows this month. Bitcoin ETFs? Around $2.5 BILLION in inflows .
Charlie Morris from ByteTree put it well: "With gold appearing exhausted, we could reasonably expect a new all time high above 40 ounces in the coming months or years" .
The thing I like most is that gold is getting hammered by higher rate expectations — markets now see 38% chance of a RATE HIKE by December, when just weeks ago two cuts were expected . Higher rates = bad for non-yielding gold. But Bitcoin? It's holding.
For me, this isn't about gold "losing" or Bitcoin "winning." It's about understanding cycles. Gold leads, consolidates, then Bitcoin catches up and outperforms. We might be in that catch-up phase .
What do you guys think? Anyone else watching this ratio?
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