Breakdown Short (High Probability)
If daily closes below 68k:
Targets: 66k → 60k
Stop Loss: above 70k
Momentum favors sellers.
BTCUSDT (1D) – Clean Breakdown
Current Price
~68,900
Moving Averages
MA(7): 68,530
MA(25): 77,050
MA(99): 87,550
Price is trading below all major MAs → strong bearish pressure.
Structure = dump → weak bounce → lower highs
That’s classic downtrend behavior.
Key Levels
Support
68,000 (critical intraday level)
66,200
60,000 (major psychological support)
Resistance
70,500 – 71,000
74,500
77,000
Trade Scenarios
1️⃣ Breakdown Short (High Probability)
If daily closes below 68k:
Targets: 66k → 60k
Stop Loss: above 70k
Momentum favors sellers.
2️⃣ Weak Bounce Long (Scalp Only)
If 68k holds:
Entry near 68k
Targets: 70.5k → 71k
Tight SL below 67k
This is counter-trend. Quick profit only.
3️⃣ Proper Trend Shift?
Needs daily close above 74.5k minimum.
Real bullish only above 77k.
Until then → rallies are for selling.
Honest Talk
Market is heavy.
No sign of strong reversal yet.
Protect capital.
Don’t overtrade in chop.
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